There will be two chances for flooding, stemming from a pair
of low pressure systems which will bring a couple rounds of soaking rain to the
region. It appears the greater risk for flooding will be with the second system
which will produce rain Wednesday night through at least Friday.
Because there will be some (but not a lot of) time between
these systems...the greatest flood potential will be on slower responding
rivers and lakes. Slower responding rivers such as the Black and Genesee Rivers
may also approach flood stage. These trends are also reflected in MMEFS
ensembles...with the likelihood that many will reach at least action stage.
